RSP Surge Reduces Proportional Vote Share of Nepal’s Major Parties in Early Election Count

Early proportional vote results from Nepal’s parliamentary election indicate a surge for the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP), while major parties including UML, Nepali Congress and Maoist Centre appear to be losing significant vote share.

Kathmandu — Early results from Nepal’s parliamentary election proportional representation vote count indicate a major shift in the country’s political landscape. The Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) has significantly increased its proportional vote share, while several major parties from the previous parliament appear to be losing support.

According to the Election Commission, more than 4 million proportional votes had been counted by 3 p.m. on Sunday, representing over one-third of the total ballots cast. Election analysts say early vote trends at this stage often provide an indication of the likely direction of the final results.

UML Records the Largest Decline

The vote count so far shows that the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist), or CPN-UML, which received the highest proportional votes in the previous election, has experienced the largest decline.

In the last parliamentary election, UML secured 26.9 percent of the total valid proportional votes. In the current count, the party has received around 14.2 percent of the votes counted so far.

This means UML has retained about 53 percent of the votes it secured in the previous election, indicating a decline of roughly 47 percent in its proportional vote share.

Maoist Centre Vote Share Also Falls

The Maoist Centre, which was the third-largest party in the previous parliament, is also facing a decline in proportional votes.

In the last election, the Maoist Centre secured 11.3 percent of the valid proportional votes. In this election, however, the Maoist Centre contested as part of a broader alliance under the Nepal Communist Party (NCP) together with the Unified Socialist Party and several smaller parties.

According to the vote count available by Sunday afternoon, the NCP has secured about 6.7 percent of the proportional votes counted so far, indicating a notable reduction compared with the vote share obtained in the previous election.

Nepali Congress Also Sees Decline

The Nepali Congress, which received the second-highest proportional vote share in the previous election, has also recorded a decrease in support.

In the last parliamentary election, the party secured 25.7 percent of the total valid proportional votes. Based on the current vote count, Nepali Congress has received around 16.9 percent of the votes.

This suggests that the party has retained a majority of its previous support but has still lost roughly one-third of its proportional vote share.

RPP Nears Proportional Threshold

The Rastriya Prajatantra Party (RPP) has also lost a portion of its earlier support.

In the previous election, RPP secured 5.6 percent of the total valid proportional votes. According to the ongoing count, the party has so far received around 3.6 percent.

Under Nepal’s electoral system, a party must cross the 3 percent proportional vote threshold to qualify as a national party. Final confirmation will depend on the complete vote count.

RSP Rise Reshaping Vote Trends

The current vote trend shows that the rise of the Rastriya Swatantra Party has significantly changed the proportional vote distribution, reducing the vote share of several established parties.

While the final results are yet to be announced, the early vote count indicates a major shift in Nepal’s parliamentary political balance.