Kathmandu — Vote counting under Nepal’s proportional representation system in the House of Representatives election has crossed the two-thirds mark, with the Rastriya Swatantra Party maintaining a strong lead in the nationwide vote tally.
In the Falgun 21 parliamentary election, voters cast ballots for political parties to elect 110 members of the 275-seat House of Representatives through the proportional representation (PR) system.
RSP Leads Proportional Vote Count
According to the latest update, 7,962,264 votes had been counted by 8:00 a.m., out of roughly 10.9 million ballots cast.
The Rastriya Swatantra Party has received 3,804,760 votes, accounting for 48.25 percent of the votes counted so far.
The Nepali Congress is in second place with 1,298,519 votes, representing around 16 percent.
Similarly, the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) has secured 1,097,732 votes, or about 14 percent of the counted ballots.
Other parties in the tally include the Nepal Communist Party with 567,330 votes (around 7 percent), the Rastriya Prajatantra Party with 268,270 votes (around 3 percent), and the Labour Culture Party with 268,012 votes (around 3 percent).
Six Parties Cross the Threshold
Under Nepal’s election law, political parties must secure at least three percent of the nationwide PR vote to qualify for proportional representation seats in parliament.
Based on the current vote count, six parties—the Rastriya Swatantra Party, Nepali Congress, CPN-UML, Nepal Communist Party, Rastriya Prajatantra Party, and Labour Culture Party—have crossed the required threshold.
Election observers say the possibility of other parties reaching the threshold appears extremely low as counting continues.
Possible Seat Distribution
If the current vote share remains unchanged, the Rastriya Swatantra Party could win around 58 seats under the proportional representation system.
The party has already secured 124 seats under the direct election system. In Gorkha-1, RSP candidate Sudhan Gurung is currently leading the vote count. If the party wins that seat, its direct election tally would rise to 125 seats.
Adding the projected 58 proportional seats, the RSP’s total representation in the 275-member House of Representatives could reach 183 seats.
Two-Thirds Majority Within Reach
A political party needs 184 seats in the House of Representatives to secure a two-thirds majority.
If the current proportional vote trend continues, the Rastriya Swatantra Party could come close to that threshold.
Projection for Other Parties
If the current vote share remains unchanged:
Nepali Congress could secure around 19 proportional seats. With 17 direct seats already won, its total could reach 37 seats if current trends continue.
CPN-UML may obtain around 16 proportional seats. With eight direct seats won, its total could reach 25 seats if its leading candidate wins in Sankhuwasabha.
Nepal Communist Party could secure eight proportional seats, adding to its seven direct seats, for a total of 15 seats.
Rastriya Prajatantra Party could obtain four proportional seats, which combined with one direct seat would give it five seats in parliament.
Labour Culture Party’s Possible Position
If the Labour Culture Party maintains its current vote share and crosses the threshold, it could secure four proportional seats in addition to the three direct seats it has already won.
That would give the party seven seats in parliament, potentially placing it ahead of the Rastriya Prajatantra Party in total representation.
Vote counting is still underway across the country, and the final seat distribution will depend on the remaining ballots yet to be counted.
